Sunday, April 19

Harrisburg, Pennsylvania — Pennsylvania’s nursing home industry is contracting in ways that aren’t making headlines, but families and hospital discharge planners are starting to feel it. A new survey from LeadingAge PA found that nursing homes across the state are quietly closing beds, cutting capacity, and turning away patients who need post-acute care — with no clear fix in sight.

The January survey of 123 nursing home operators tells a stark story. About 10% permanently decommissioned beds over the past year. Nearly 30% left existing spaces unfilled. And roughly half said they’d recently had to turn away a patient referred from a hospital.

“The evidence of an urgent crisis is right in front of us,” said Gary Pezzano, president and CEO of LeadingAge PA. “Where are these individuals going for the level of care they need, as long-term care providers are forced to turn away admissions?”

The Numbers Behind the Crisis

Since 2020, at least 37 nursing homes in Pennsylvania have closed entirely. That’s more than 4,300 beds gone — and the facilities still standing are struggling to hold on. More than two-thirds of survey respondents reported five or more vacant direct-care staff positions. Nearly 75% said those staffing gaps forced them to limit admissions. About 30% closed down building space because they couldn’t fill it with workers.

The workforce problem runs deep. Providers say they can’t offer competitive wages, struggle to recruit for difficult shifts, and face a pipeline of candidates who aren’t interested in long-term care work. It’s a pattern playing out nationally, but Pennsylvania’s combination of chronic Medicaid underfunding and a rapidly aging population makes it especially acute.

Medicaid Rates That Don’t Keep Up

About 70% of nursing home residents in Pennsylvania depend on Medicaid — and advocates say the program isn’t paying anywhere near what care actually costs. LeadingAge PA is asking the state legislature to inject more than $274 million into nursing home reimbursement rates before the July 1 budget deadline.

That deadline matters. Pennsylvania lawmakers have missed the constitutionally mandated budget deadline four straight years running. This year’s negotiations are still ongoing, and nursing homes are waiting to see whether they’ll land a lifeline or get cut again.

The state’s aging demographics make the stakes unusually high. Residents older than 84 are projected to double by 2050, according to Pennsylvania State Data Center estimates. A shrinking industry now means there won’t be enough capacity to absorb that wave when it arrives.

Pennsylvania isn’t alone in this bind. A recent analysis found that Medicaid nursing home payment rates vary dramatically across states, with many states falling well short of actual care costs — creating similar pressure on operators from coast to coast.

What Comes Next

Beyond the Medicaid funding ask, nursing home operators want predictability. They say they can’t plan hiring, capital investment, or admissions capacity when reimbursement rates are negotiated late each year — or not at all.

For hospital discharge planners in Pennsylvania, the picture is already getting harder. More patients are waiting longer for nursing home placements, and some aren’t finding them close to home. The survey data is clear: Pennsylvania’s nursing home capacity is eroding at exactly the wrong moment.

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