Wednesday, July 29

Baltimore, Maryland — Nursing homes across the country woke up this week to an unwelcome surprise: their quality ratings dropped, even though nothing about their care actually changed.

The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services quietly raised the threshold requirements for its Quality Measure star ratings, effective immediately. Facilities now need significantly more points to earn the same star ratings they held just days ago — a move experts say will push many providers down a full star.

According to the new CMS standards released this week, nursing homes need 38 additional points to achieve a 5-star QM rating, 33 more points for 4 stars, 29 more for 3 stars, and 23 more for 2 stars. Any facility scoring 927 points or fewer now automatically receives a 1-star designation.

“It looks like the changes to the QM star thresholds will have a bigger impact to more providers than the usual individual QM thresholds that occur every six months,” said Maureen McCarthy, president and CEO of Celtic Consulting. “When looking at the impact individually, we may see more facilities drop a star rating for the QM domain and potentially lose an overall star.”

The rating changes come as CMS refreshes its Care Compare website, the public-facing portal where families research nursing homes. For facilities that have been monitoring their performance under the “old” thresholds, the sudden shift creates immediate visibility problems.

“CMS did this without fanfare so providers who are unaware may be surprised come the July Care Compare refresh depending on how they have been performing,” said Joel VanEaton, executive vice president at Broad River Rehab.

The changes reflect CMS’ broader strategy of “continual improvement” first outlined in a 2019 memo. The agency plans to raise thresholds as frequently as every six months, by 50% of the average rate of nationwide improvement in overall QM scores. If the national average improves by 2%, CMS will bump the thresholds up by 1%.

Industry consultants say facilities can recover, but it requires renewed focus on MDS documentation and clinical systems. Organizations have improved their QM ratings by two stars within 12 to 18 months by strengthening oversight and interdisciplinary accountability, according to industry reports.

The rating shift comes on the heels of other major CMS changes to nursing home oversight, including a new risk-based survey model that takes effect in September. Under that system, only top-rated facilities will qualify for streamlined inspections.

LeadingAge has predicted CMS could raise thresholds again as soon as January 2027, adding pressure on facilities to stay ahead of the curve.

“Five stars are not permanent anymore,” said one consultant familiar with the changes. “The facilities that will thrive under these changes are not necessarily the ones providing dramatically different care. They are the ones that know how to measure it, monitor it and improve it every day.”


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